Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 13.262235 15.527230 18.000213 20.892649 24.174356 27.773362 32.010055
2025-03-09 9.206900 12.219466 15.860965 20.546377 26.370389 33.323912 42.201383
2025-03-16 6.458647 9.532255 13.575606 19.194803 26.698488 36.258926 49.227242
2025-03-23 5.321317 8.564240 13.130379 19.871655 29.382703 42.107585 60.158774
2025-03-30 4.574166 7.943828 12.976450 20.798564 32.353476 48.446674 72.120377
2025-04-06 3.674845 6.891616 11.986629 20.314919 33.174719 51.782489 80.104811
2025-04-13 2.872032 5.819612 10.769295 19.268596 32.964131 53.513113 85.807955
2025-04-20 2.603242 5.608552 10.891477 20.314205 35.998222 60.181317 99.104877
2025-04-27 2.420732 5.516122 11.187537 21.652564 39.578136 67.885574 114.401736
2025-05-04 2.129864 5.155671 10.950155 22.031897 41.589999 73.247482 126.387059
2025-05-11 1.825769 4.705696 10.476961 21.922250 42.736957 77.265429 136.453593
2025-05-18 1.534055 4.219726 9.858294 21.459096 43.200015 80.154253 144.824659
2025-05-25 1.287964 3.801125 9.346721 21.207075 44.141483 84.117720 155.576544
2025-06-01 1.079863 3.427378 8.877246 20.996358 45.172602 88.371570 167.210505
2025-06-08 0.829409 2.873432 7.913517 19.644273 43.902944 88.496031 171.818593
2025-06-15 0.748008 2.757490 7.925792 20.339475 46.648300 95.946533 189.529336
2025-06-22 0.689680 2.693151 8.049094 21.285926 49.965355 104.634216 209.880913
2025-06-29 0.569541 2.402571 7.560355 20.792748 50.295025 107.786367 220.476143
2025-07-06 0.447168 2.060275 6.868335 19.725332 49.304567 108.344450 226.340127
2025-07-13 0.421263 2.046513 7.059020 20.792059 52.967565 118.083081 249.678991
2025-07-20 0.406459 2.070099 7.358078 22.157215 57.384672 129.534975 276.756376
2025-07-27 0.362518 1.966671 7.273148 22.544099 59.653280 136.845658 296.322175
2025-08-03 0.310928 1.812659 7.008419 22.432271 60.777574 141.910496 311.815662